The Scottish Independence Referendum is upon us and again we hear the chiming of the now too familiar phrase “TOO CLOSE TO CALL”.
Way back when, this is the polling result from Alberta’s surprising election:
April 22: Wildrose 38, Progressive Conservatives 36, NDP 12, Liberal 10, Alberta Party 2. Forum Research. A total of 1,949 residents were given an interactive voice response telephone survey on April 22. Margin of error plus or minus 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
April 23 (Actual Results): Progressive Conservatives 43.9, Wildrose 34.3, Liberal 9.9, NDP 9.8, Other 2. Information from the Huffington Post (http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/24/alberta-election-2012-polls_n_1450661.html)
Maybe the pollsters learned something there. It’s hard to hold your head up high if you stick your neck too far out.
Then on May 13, 2013, when Christy Clark’s job was on the line, pollsters got there greatest minds together to bring us the vividly exciting news about the BC election, “The Election is too close to call”.
Actual vote results: Liberals under Christy Clark 57.6% of the vote, NDP under Adrian Dix, 40% of the vote.
Info found at: (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Columbia_general_election,_2013)
Wow, you play it safe and still egg on their faces.
We heard the phrase Too close to call again in the Ontario 2014 election, as it drizzled down, like from the heavens and the morning dew ushered forth from the Political Poll gods.
Results: Liberals under Kathrine Wynn 38.65% of the actual vote.
Conservatives under Tim Hudak 31.25% of the actual vote
Not even close.
Now we are to believe that the Scottish Independence Referendum is to close to call. Maybe it is that the pollsters don’t want to stick their necks out by making a prediction. It is kinda like if Weathermen called for a 50% chance of rain. Whalla, they can’t be wrong. Maybe the media employs the term, to make it irresistible to the viewing zombie public to get their noses glued to the newspapers, their radios and their tubes that they enlist the phrase.
Whatever the case, polls just make me laugh, we are being misinformed and it amounts to just more noise, more unwanted interference in the process of political gladiators bashing each other’s personalities over the media. It amounts to junk on junk, and no democracy in sight. I say to pollsters as I would say to politicians, get out of the way and let real democracy happen.
P.S. And we heard the laughter of the World bouncing off the hills and echoing in the plains as we heard again the silly little phrase “Too close to call”.